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Board facts & stats
5 sourced facts about surveys, polling, and public opinion research, each with the context behind the number. 4 more are in today's round and appear here after it closes.
Going deeper
About how many people did the Literary Digest survey before wrongly predicting the 1936 US election?
Answerabout 2.3 million
Despite the huge sample, biased mail-in postcards led to one of polling history's most famous failures.
Source: Wikipedia - Opinion poll (2024) en.wikipedia.org
About how many employees does the Gallup organization have today?
Answerabout 1,500 employees
Gallup has grown far beyond election polling into a global analytics and consulting firm.
Source: Wikipedia - Gallup, Inc. (2024) en.wikipedia.org
Expert level
About how many people would a poll need to reach a margin of error of just ±1%?
Answerabout 10,000 people
Cutting the margin of error to a third requires roughly ten times as many respondents.
Source: Wikipedia - Opinion poll (2024) en.wikipedia.org
One study found surveys with a response rate near 20% were about as accurate as surveys with a response rate near what higher figure?
Answerabout 60–70%
This counterintuitive finding suggests a much higher response rate doesn't always mean a more accurate survey.
Source: Wikipedia - Response rate (survey) (2024) en.wikipedia.org
In what year did researcher Paul Lazarsfeld develop the 'panel' survey method still used today?
Answer1938
Panel surveys ask the same group of people the same questions repeatedly over time to track how opinions change.
Source: Wikipedia - Sampling (statistics) (2024) en.wikipedia.org
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